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Decryption “Without it, climate change would be even faster”: the ocean protects us, but for how long?

Climate scientists most disappointed by global political action agree. "This is a major decision," Johan Rockström, director of one of Europe's most renowned climate institutes, the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, told AFP. Every country can be held accountable in court, even if it is not a signatory to UN treaties, he added.

For American climatologist Michael Mann, the advice comes at a good time as Donald Trump continues to dismantle the edifice built by his Democratic predecessors to reduce greenhouse gases.

The court's opinion "makes the United States, and a few petrostates like Saudi Arabia and Russia, an outlaw country that threatens our people and our planet in the name of fossil fuel profits," he told AFP. The opinion will certainly be "tested" in court in the United States, Vermont Law School professor Pat Parenteau predicted for AFP. "It won't succeed with the current Supreme Court, but it's not permanent."

Political setbacks, legal advances

Many NGOs and activists have been eagerly awaiting this opinion, frustrated by the inaction or slowness of major polluting countries to reduce their combustion of oil, coal and gas.

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During the flooding of the Villaine in Brittany in January 2025.

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The court had to hold the largest hearings in its history, with more than 100 nations and groups speaking, in December at the Peace Palace.

The climate battle is increasingly involving courts, both national and international, to force climate action on a scale that political negotiations are failing to trigger – especially at a time when Europe and the United States are slowing down or backtracking on their commitments.

The annual COPs have certainly helped to change warming forecasts, but still not enough to meet the 2°C target limit, compared to the pre-industrial era, set by the 2015 Paris Agreement. The world is already at at least 1.3°C of warming.

Le Nouvel Observateur

Le Nouvel Observateur

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